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Red149
807941.5
729231.2
565520.5
Blue58
807034.9
622826.9
822021.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049440608012014016018014958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.4
41.241.5
Auto14.1
Teleop7.9
End19.5
red by 6.6
34.90.8
35.734.9
Auto7.1
Teleop2.4
End25.4
Second
31.20.4
30.931.2
Auto8.5
Teleop2.3
End20.4
red by 4.3
26.90.8
27.726.9
Auto13.0
Teleop2.8
End11.1
Third
5655
#17
20.50.4
20.120.5
Auto8.8
Teleop2.1
End9.6
blue by 1.0
8220
#21
21.50.8
22.321.5
Auto7.4
Teleop3.0
End11.1