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Red71
622826.9
826316.4
814917.3
Blue50
768310.9
290525.4
805825.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486101001507150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.93.0
19.722.7
Auto13.0
Teleop2.8
End11.1
red by 1.5
2905
#15
25.40.6
24.724.0
Auto10.7
Teleop6.8
End8.0
Second
8149
#33
17.33.0
12.315.2
Auto7.3
Teleop0.7
End9.3
blue by 8.0
8058
#34
25.30.6
12.411.8
Auto8.3
Teleop6.5
End10.5
Third
8263
#14
16.43.0
12.215.2
Auto5.2
Teleop1.9
End9.3
red by 5.6
7683
#39DQ
10.90.6
15.715.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsMissed10%Shield Operational oddsMissed