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Red225
805414.2
642920.8
824220.2
Blue99
807941.5
64309.4
826316.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6358010020030040022599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#16
20.80.5
19.319.8
Auto12.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
blue by 20.7
41.53.5
31.234.7
Auto14.1
Teleop7.9
End19.5
Second
8242
#19
20.20.5
20.621.1
Auto9.3
Teleop1.2
End9.7
red by 3.7
8263
#14
16.43.5
13.116.6
Auto5.2
Teleop1.9
End9.3
Third
8054
#27
14.20.5
15.716.2
Auto5.5
Teleop2.1
End6.6
red by 4.8
6430
#41
9.43.5
8.512.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
7%Shield Operational oddsMissed10%Shield Operational oddsMissed