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Red107
807941.5
729231.2
565520.5
Blue104
643524.2
599326.2
698823.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10075050150200107104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.6
39.440.0
Auto14.1
Teleop7.9
End19.5
red by 15.3
26.21.0
24.825.8
Auto12.4
Teleop2.3
End11.5
Second
31.20.6
29.129.7
Auto8.5
Teleop2.3
End20.4
red by 7.0
6435
#11
24.21.0
22.823.8
Auto8.4
Teleop5.2
End10.6
Third
5655
#17
20.50.7
18.218.8
Auto8.8
Teleop2.1
End9.6
blue by 3.3
6988
#20
23.81.0
22.323.3
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End9.9