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Red172
589253.1
41854.7
821025.6
Blue111
463937.2
23146.8
61119.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15395050200250300172111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#2
54.70.9
53.654.5
Auto16.7
Teleop14.1
End24.0
red by 7.9
231
#4
46.80.3
46.546.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.7
End20.7
Second
53.10.9
51.952.9
Auto15.1
Teleop23.2
End14.8
red by 15.9
37.20.3
36.837.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End16.4
Third
8210
#25
25.61.0
24.325.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.5
End13.8
red by 16.1
6111
#22
9.50.3
9.29.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End5.1