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Red99
284840.7
749231.9
841412.4
Blue85
752113.5
572618.8
801919.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994901502002509985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
39.840.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.4
End22.6
red by 21.7
8019
#12
19.00.4
18.519.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End7.7
Second
31.90.4
31.031.4
Auto8.5
Teleop2.2
End21.2
red by 13.1
5726
#11
18.80.4
18.418.8
Auto10.4
Teleop5.2
End3.2
Third
8414
#25
12.40.4
11.511.8
Auto6.2
Teleop0.6
End5.6
blue by 1.1
7521
#13
13.50.4
13.013.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0