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Red136
116426.6
215847.4
708815.5
Blue110
406332.8
367944.0
77504.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10186050150200136110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
47.147.9
Auto13.6
Teleop7.3
End26.5
red by 3.3
44.00.7
43.444.0
Auto17.8
Teleop12.8
End13.5
Second
26.60.7
26.327.1
Auto8.0
Teleop4.3
End14.2
blue by 6.2
32.80.7
32.132.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End11.1
Third
7088
#20
15.50.7
15.316.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End8.6
red by 11.3
7750
#23
4.20.7
3.64.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End2.5