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Red156
147743.4
384759.5
324019.5
Blue124
557228.6
181732.2
473415.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13570050100150200250156124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.6
56.557.1
Auto14.8
Teleop19.6
End25.0
red by 27.3
32.20.8
30.531.4
Auto15.9
Teleop5.9
End10.4
Second
43.40.6
40.441.0
Auto13.7
Teleop12.3
End17.4
red by 14.8
5572
#14
28.60.8
27.027.8
Auto10.5
Teleop3.7
End14.4
Third
3240
#18
19.50.6
16.517.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.7
End6.3
red by 4.5
4734
#17
15.00.8
13.314.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End3.8