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Red149
147743.4
384759.5
324019.5
Blue110
557228.6
181732.2
473415.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13773050100150200250149110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.7
57.157.8
Auto14.8
Teleop19.6
End25.0
red by 27.3
32.20.8
31.432.2
Auto15.9
Teleop5.9
End10.4
Second
43.40.7
41.041.7
Auto13.7
Teleop12.3
End17.4
red by 14.8
5572
#14
28.60.8
27.828.6
Auto10.5
Teleop3.7
End14.4
Third
3240
#18
19.50.7
17.117.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.7
End6.3
red by 4.5
4734
#17
15.00.8
14.215.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End3.8