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Red102
461043.7
62447.6
615510.4
Blue109
383421.6
541134.1
464119.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11182050100150200102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
47.60.1
45.645.8
Auto14.6
Teleop8.2
End24.8
red by 13.5
34.10.7
34.635.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.9
End21.1
Second
43.70.1
41.741.9
Auto11.1
Teleop11.3
End21.3
red by 22.1
21.60.7
22.122.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End14.4
Third
6155
#32
10.40.1
8.48.6
Auto5.5
Teleop1.0
End3.8
blue by 9.2
4641
#13
19.60.7
20.120.9
Auto9.6
Teleop4.9
End5.1