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Red161
246869.6
271456.9
664613.6
Blue107
637741.3
541735.2
753419.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16410450150200250161107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.5
69.469.9
Auto21.4
Teleop21.8
End26.4
red by 28.3
6377
#10
41.30.4
42.842.4
Auto13.7
Teleop21.7
End5.8
Second
56.90.5
56.857.3
Auto17.7
Teleop10.9
End28.3
red by 21.7
35.20.4
36.736.3
Auto9.8
Teleop3.7
End21.7
Third
6646
#26
13.60.5
13.513.9
Auto5.5
Teleop0.8
End7.3
blue by 6.0
7534
#30
19.60.4
21.120.7
Auto8.2
Teleop6.1
End5.4