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Red51
331050.0
268740.9
471711.9
Blue148
129618.9
300525.7
280524.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12657010015020051148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.01.3
50.649.3
Auto16.8
Teleop11.1
End22.1
red by 24.3
25.70.3
22.422.7
Auto10.1
Teleop6.5
End9.1
Second
40.91.2
41.540.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End20.6
red by 16.0
2805
#20
24.90.3
21.621.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.0
End13.0
Third
4717
#27
11.91.2
12.511.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 6.9
1296
#22
18.90.3
15.615.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End7.8