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Red107
331050.0
268740.9
471711.9
Blue111
129618.9
300525.7
280524.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123580100150200107111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.1
49.850.0
Auto16.8
Teleop11.1
End22.1
red by 24.3
25.71.1
22.423.5
Auto10.1
Teleop6.5
End9.1
Second
40.90.1
40.840.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End20.6
red by 16.0
2805
#20
24.91.1
21.622.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.0
End13.0
Third
4717
#27
11.90.1
11.811.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 6.9
1296
#22
18.91.1
15.616.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End7.8