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Red122
129618.9
300525.7
280524.9
Blue124
637741.3
541735.2
753419.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66118050100150200122124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.3
24.425.7
Auto10.1
Teleop6.5
End9.1
blue by 15.6
6377
#10
41.30.5
42.342.8
Auto13.7
Teleop21.7
End5.8
Second
2805
#20
24.91.3
23.624.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.0
End13.0
blue by 10.3
35.20.5
36.236.7
Auto9.8
Teleop3.7
End21.7
Third
1296
#22
18.91.3
17.618.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End7.8
blue by 0.7
7534
#30
19.60.5
20.621.1
Auto8.2
Teleop6.1
End5.4