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Red129
805535.4
335516.5
750623.2
Blue101
174529.7
750319.3
636920.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7669204060100120140129101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8055
#10
35.41.3
33.434.7
Auto16.5
Teleop12.3
End6.6
red by 5.7
1745
#11
29.70.8
28.228.9
Auto14.5
Teleop4.7
End10.5
Second
7506
#22
23.21.5
19.320.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.1
End13.3
red by 2.9
6369
#14
20.30.9
17.017.8
Auto6.7
Teleop3.7
End9.9
Third
16.51.3
14.415.8
Auto7.2
Teleop3.0
End6.3
blue by 2.9
19.30.8
17.818.6
Auto6.3
Teleop4.4
End8.6