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Red185
11876.7
14882.6
711923.0
Blue144
380238.9
543150.1
731920.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20610350150250300350185144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
82.60.2
78.678.8
Auto22.6
Teleop30.0
End30.0
red by 32.5
50.10.5
49.049.5
Auto18.4
Teleop14.9
End16.9
Second
118
#3
76.70.2
72.772.9
Auto21.7
Teleop34.1
End20.9
red by 37.8
3802
#15
38.90.6
35.936.5
Auto16.5
Teleop15.8
End6.6
Third
7119
#23
23.00.3
20.620.8
Auto9.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
red by 2.2
7319
#17
20.80.5
19.620.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.3
End10.5