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Red196
864.0
141074.2
324515.4
Blue103
212245.0
133961.4
67029.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16715850100200250300196103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.2
72.673.8
Auto21.0
Teleop25.1
End28.1
red by 12.9
61.41.1
63.862.7
Auto18.4
Teleop20.0
End23.0
Second
8
#4
64.01.2
62.363.5
Auto21.3
Teleop18.0
End24.8
red by 19.0
2122
#20
45.01.1
47.446.3
Auto21.8
Teleop19.7
End3.4
Third
3245
#32
15.41.2
13.714.9
Auto8.3
Teleop1.9
End5.2
blue by 13.6
670
#44
29.01.1
31.430.4
Auto10.3
Teleop0.2
End18.6