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Quarterfinal 2-22020 Utah Regional
Red166
406838.4
429334.7
70130.1
Blue65
328931.5
259434.0
156932.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114112608010014016018016665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#10
38.41.9
38.0→39.9
Auto16.6
Teleop7.6
End14.2
red by 4.4
2594
#7
34.01.0
35.0→34.0
Auto11.9
Teleop5.5
End16.7
Second
4293
#6
34.71.7
34.4→36.1
Auto10.9
Teleop7.6
End16.2
red by 2.5
1569
#17
32.21.0
33.2→32.2
Auto10.3
Teleop5.1
End16.7
Third
701
#40
30.11.7
29.8→31.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End13.2
blue by 1.4
3289
#11
31.51.0
32.5→31.5
Auto9.3
Teleop5.8
End16.5