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Qual 102020 Utah Regional
Red130
141074.2
742634.2
429334.7
Blue107
641131.2
406838.4
66219.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11482050100150200250300130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#1
74.23.2
38.6→41.8
Auto21.0
Teleop25.1
End28.1
red by 35.8
4068
#10
38.41.6
22.1→23.7
Auto16.6
Teleop7.6
End14.2
Second
4293
#6
34.73.2
29.3→32.5
Auto10.9
Teleop7.6
End16.2
red by 3.5
6411
#35
31.21.6
26.2→27.8
Auto9.2
Teleop7.4
End14.5
Third
7426
#21
34.23.2
30.5→33.6
Auto16.4
Teleop10.4
End7.5
red by 15.0
662
#14
19.31.6
29.5→31.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsMissed18%Shield Operational oddsMissed