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Red45
464313.7
323035.1
67029.0
Blue74
429334.7
743615.4
321635.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701000501504574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#15
35.12.4
27.425.0
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End19.3
blue by 0.2
3216
#18
35.31.6
26.825.1
Auto8.4
Teleop5.7
End21.2
Second
670
#44
29.02.4
25.322.9
Auto10.3
Teleop0.2
End18.6
blue by 5.6
34.71.6
37.335.6
Auto10.9
Teleop7.6
End16.2
Third
4643
#53
13.72.4
14.011.6
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End8.5
blue by 1.7
7436
#33
15.41.6
21.620.0
Auto8.8
Teleop0.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
14%Shield Operational oddsMissed13%Shield Operational oddsMissed