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Qual 892020 Utah Regional
Red105
684421.6
15923.9
328931.5
Blue103
464313.7
340524.6
790627.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7767050100150200250105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3289
#11
31.53.3
29.5→32.7
Auto9.3
Teleop5.8
End16.5
red by 3.8
7906
#27
27.82.4
25.4→27.8
Auto7.2
Teleop2.1
End18.5
Second
159
#41
23.93.3
20.7→23.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 0.7
3405
#28
24.62.4
24.8→27.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End12.9
Third
6844
#39
21.63.5
18.1→21.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 7.9
4643
#53
13.72.4
11.3→13.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
8%Shield Operational oddsMissed20%Shield Operational oddsEarned