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Red144
161057.3
210644.8
112326.4
Blue170
580445.3
108653.3
152226.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413650100200250144170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.0
57.257.3
Auto15.3
Teleop26.4
End15.6
red by 3.9
53.30.7
52.653.3
Auto12.8
Teleop26.1
End14.5
Second
44.80.0
44.844.8
Auto16.1
Teleop12.3
End16.5
blue by 0.4
45.30.8
44.545.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.9
End21.3
Third
1123
#32
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto9.3
Teleop6.1
End11.0
blue by 0.5
1522
#19
26.90.7
26.226.9
Auto5.9
Teleop0.1
End20.9