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Red117
742925.3
126238.6
202842.4
Blue113
289023.3
299843.9
159815.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8561050100150200250117113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#17
42.44.9
28.333.1
Auto17.0
Teleop14.7
End10.7
blue by 1.5
2998
#16
43.94.1
19.824.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End19.5
Second
38.64.9
27.031.9
Auto14.7
Teleop10.0
End13.9
red by 15.3
2890
#25
23.34.1
21.525.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End7.8
Third
7429
#31
25.34.9
17.822.7
Auto11.3
Teleop2.4
End11.6
red by 9.5
1598
#34
15.94.1
16.520.6
Auto8.9
Teleop0.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
11%Shield Operational oddsMissed11%Shield Operational oddsMissed