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Red150
236353.0
62349.3
68626.4
Blue89
61440.5
327419.7
172740.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531025020025015089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.0
53.653.6
Auto18.0
Teleop19.5
End15.5
red by 12.4
614
#12
40.50.2
39.539.3
Auto15.4
Teleop2.1
End23.0
Second
623
#1
49.30.0
49.950.0
Auto16.6
Teleop8.2
End24.6
red by 9.2
1727
#23
40.20.2
39.138.9
Auto14.4
Teleop19.8
End6.0
Third
686
#26
26.40.0
27.027.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End14.9
red by 6.7
3274
#11
19.70.2
18.718.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End7.7