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Red100
83657.9
189539.4
61440.5
Blue119
172740.2
832613.4
236353.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11175050100150200100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
57.90.6
37.538.0
Auto21.3
Teleop18.1
End18.5
red by 4.9
53.03.6
37.741.3
Auto18.0
Teleop19.5
End15.5
Second
614
#12
40.50.6
30.631.2
Auto15.4
Teleop2.1
End23.0
red by 0.4
1727
#23
40.23.6
28.832.4
Auto14.4
Teleop19.8
End6.0
Third
1895
#21
39.40.6
26.927.4
Auto10.7
Teleop5.0
End23.7
red by 26.0
8326
#36
13.43.6
4.98.5
Auto6.6
Teleop2.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsEarned9%Shield Operational oddsMissed