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Red133
327419.7
447266.1
337320.4
Blue101
218631.6
189539.4
191525.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88113050100150200133101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.14.2
55.559.6
Auto15.1
Teleop25.4
End25.6
red by 26.7
1895
#21
39.44.6
35.831.2
Auto10.7
Teleop5.0
End23.7
Second
3373
#34
20.44.2
12.216.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End8.9
blue by 11.3
31.64.6
34.429.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End17.6
Third
3274
#11
19.74.2
13.918.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 5.9
1915
#15
25.64.6
27.823.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.5
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
17%Shield Operational oddsMissed41%Shield Operational oddsMissed