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Red121
236353.0
62349.3
68626.4
Blue131
219935.1
554641.5
33926.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110950200250121131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
53.553.3
Auto18.0
Teleop19.5
End15.5
red by 11.5
41.50.6
41.342.0
Auto12.9
Teleop10.0
End18.6
Second
623
#1
49.30.2
49.849.6
Auto16.6
Teleop8.2
End24.6
red by 14.2
2199
#19
35.10.6
34.935.6
Auto12.5
Teleop6.2
End16.5
Third
686
#26
26.40.2
26.926.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End14.9
blue by 0.1
339
#17
26.50.6
26.327.0
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End11.9