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Red68
252234.1
382651.9
803218.0
Blue132
177828.1
189930.7
49230.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259505015020068132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.9
53.452.5
Auto16.3
Teleop13.5
End22.1
red by 21.0
492
#17
30.90.6
30.531.2
Auto10.9
Teleop7.9
End12.1
Second
34.10.9
35.634.7
Auto10.5
Teleop5.8
End17.9
red by 3.4
1899
#11
30.70.6
30.431.0
Auto13.1
Teleop8.4
End9.3
Third
8032
#15
18.00.9
19.518.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End9.0
blue by 10.1
1778
#12
28.10.6
27.728.4
Auto12.3
Teleop9.5
End6.4