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Red102
468315.9
468137.4
307026.7
Blue128
491154.7
241217.4
382651.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611210100150200250102128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.6
24.026.6
Auto13.7
Teleop0.8
End22.9
blue by 17.3
54.72.8
41.043.8
Auto13.1
Teleop24.5
End17.1
Second
26.72.6
29.231.8
Auto7.5
Teleop5.8
End13.4
blue by 25.2
51.92.8
37.940.7
Auto16.3
Teleop13.5
End22.1
Third
4683
#23
15.92.6
9.011.5
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End9.1
blue by 1.4
2412
#22
17.42.8
22.325.1
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
28%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed