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Red126
291068.0
451328.1
803218.0
Blue121
430922.9
131836.6
468137.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12598050150200250126121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.01.0
66.567.6
Auto22.0
Teleop27.4
End18.7
red by 30.7
37.41.1
37.338.5
Auto13.7
Teleop0.8
End22.9
Second
28.11.0
24.225.3
Auto10.5
Teleop3.4
End14.2
blue by 8.5
1318
#10
36.61.1
32.633.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End16.6
Third
8032
#15
18.01.0
18.219.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End9.0
blue by 4.9
4309
#31
22.91.1
20.822.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsEarned32%Shield Operational oddsMissed