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Red171
491154.7
291068.0
417323.1
Blue139
131836.6
451328.1
746124.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17686050150200250300171139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.00.5
68.469.0
Auto22.0
Teleop27.4
End18.7
red by 31.4
1318
#10
36.60.6
36.336.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End16.6
Second
54.70.5
55.055.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.5
End17.1
red by 26.5
28.10.6
27.828.4
Auto10.5
Teleop3.4
End14.2
Third
4173
#26
23.10.5
23.524.0
Auto8.1
Teleop5.3
End9.7
blue by 1.1
7461
#28
24.20.6
23.824.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.8
End2.3