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Red130
252234.1
382651.9
803218.0
Blue147
293036.8
297652.4
491827.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512750100150200250130147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.2
52.052.3
Auto16.3
Teleop13.5
End22.1
blue by 0.5
52.40.3
50.951.2
Auto20.4
Teleop13.4
End18.6
Second
34.10.2
34.234.5
Auto10.5
Teleop5.8
End17.9
blue by 2.7
2930
#16
36.80.3
35.335.6
Auto12.4
Teleop9.5
End14.9
Third
8032
#15
18.00.2
18.118.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End9.0
blue by 9.7
4918
#14
27.70.3
26.226.5
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End10.3