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Red149
281147.5
260525.9
366356.5
Blue117
592043.5
214743.3
644219.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142100050200250149117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.9
54.256.1
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 13.0
5920
#11
43.50.7
40.441.1
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End21.5
Second
47.51.4
46.648.0
Auto15.0
Teleop16.6
End15.9
red by 4.3
2147
#16
43.30.7
36.737.4
Auto7.2
Teleop13.4
End22.7
Third
2605
#23
25.91.9
21.223.0
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 6.3
6442
#15
19.60.7
17.418.0
Auto8.3
Teleop2.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsMissed11%Shield Operational oddsEarned