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Red193
371146.4
366356.5
41044.9
Blue126
214743.3
607612.8
408949.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121186080100140160180200193126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.52.4
54.356.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End19.9
red by 6.7
49.81.2
48.850.0
Auto12.6
Teleop10.7
End26.6
Second
46.42.1
44.246.4
Auto12.5
Teleop4.4
End29.4
red by 3.1
2147
#16
43.31.4
41.643.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.4
End22.7
Third
4104
#22
4.92.4
2.75.1
Auto0.7
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 7.9
6076
#20
12.81.4
14.415.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
30%Shield Operational oddsMissed23%Shield Operational oddsEarned