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Red225
291073.8
491171.8
607612.8
Blue104
214743.3
159528.7
369319.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17590050150200250300350400225104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.81.1
69.870.8
Auto21.9
Teleop31.9
End19.9
red by 30.5
2147
#16
43.30.3
43.243.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.4
End22.7
Second
71.81.1
67.768.8
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End23.3
red by 43.0
28.70.3
28.628.9
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End12.7
Third
6076
#20
12.81.1
8.89.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 6.6
3693
#19
19.40.3
19.319.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End7.0