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Red6
115325.5
490518.4
2467.4
Blue15
107313.1
346713.2
27133.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9885050150200250300615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
25.58.9
33.925.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
red by 12.4
13.27.0
27.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Second
4905
#23
18.48.9
31.622.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.2
End5.9
red by 5.3
13.17.0
30.623.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End5.6
Third
246
#9
7.48.9
20.811.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End2.0
red by 4.1
2713
#14
3.47.0
20.013.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
16%Shield Operational oddsMissed15%Shield Operational oddsMissed