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Red211
1669.3
36424.6
5006B17.2
Blue71
433639.3
393763.1
500634.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119158020030040050021171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
69.30.0
69.369.3
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End23.1
red by 6.2
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto17.8
Teleop22.8
End22.5
Second
364
#1
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto9.9
Teleop10.1
End4.5
blue by 14.7
4336
#10
39.30.0
39.339.3
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
Third
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End7.8
blue by 17.2
5006
#11
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto11.1
Teleop7.7
End15.5