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Red209
2992B23.8
299247.6
5454B11.5
Blue146
32330.3
545422.9
16B34.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969450150200209146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.0
47.647.6
Auto12.7
Teleop9.9
End25.0
red by 12.9
16B
#8
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End11.5
Second
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto6.3
Teleop4.9
End12.5
blue by 6.5
323
#5
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto10.2
Teleop7.5
End12.6
Third
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.2
Teleop1.2
End6.1
blue by 11.5
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto8.4
Teleop2.3
End12.1