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Red134
313232.9
643426.2
564820.9
Blue95
758318.5
473919.1
756121.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9462015020025030035013495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop8.1
End13.7
red by 11.3
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End9.0
Second
6434
#10
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto8.8
Teleop6.5
End10.9
red by 7.1
4739
#16
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End7.9
Third
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End8.7
red by 2.4
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational odds13%Shield Operational odds