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Red202
603519.5
461335.8
743331.5
Blue58
556419.4
533124.4
758318.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026405015020025030020258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto12.1
Teleop8.9
End14.9
red by 11.4
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.2
Teleop6.0
End10.1
Second
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.6
Teleop7.8
End13.1
red by 12.2
5564
#12
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.1
Third
6035
#15
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.1
red by 1.0
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.6
End7.7