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Red108
716321.5
313232.9
598533.9
Blue83
651029.7
533124.4
643426.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008805015020025030010883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto11.4
Teleop8.4
End14.1
red by 4.2
6510
#13
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.3
End12.3
Second
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto11.1
Teleop8.1
End13.7
red by 6.7
6434
#11
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto8.8
Teleop6.5
End10.9
Third
7163
#12
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto7.2
Teleop5.3
End8.9
blue by 2.9
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.2
Teleop6.0
End10.1