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Red168
657928.9
699623.0
556419.4
Blue134
477425.9
758318.5
587621.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8173050100150200250168134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End12.0
red by 3.0
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto8.7
Teleop6.4
End10.8
Second
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto7.8
Teleop5.7
End9.6
red by 1.3
5876
#10
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Third
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.1
red by 0.9
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.6
End7.7