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Red166
216873.1
632853.8
226233.0
Blue120
16643.3
69475.6
46712.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841400100300400500600166120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.10.0
73.173.1
Auto21.2
Teleop26.7
End25.2
blue by 2.5
694
#17
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
Second
53.80.0
53.853.8
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
red by 10.5
166
#10
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
Third
2262
#18
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto12.0
Teleop5.0
End16.0
red by 21.0
467
#8
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9