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Red101
13133.1
581313.3
206743.7
Blue173
16643.3
69475.6
46712.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921540200300400500101173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#15
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto12.2
Teleop9.7
End21.9
blue by 31.9
694
#17
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
Second
131
#2
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End4.2
blue by 10.1
166
#10
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
Third
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
red by 1.3
467
#8
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9