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Red222
362319.4
581313.3
8855.9
Blue178
615332.2
854418.2
69475.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9114802004006008001,000222178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
blue by 19.6
694
#7
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
Second
3623
#24
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 12.7
6153
#10
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End13.9
Third
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
blue by 5.0
8544
#14
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6