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Red239
362319.4
581313.3
8855.9
Blue152
573527.3
346713.2
107313.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065302004006008001,000239152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
55.90.0
55.955.9
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
red by 28.6
5735
#18
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.2
Teleop6.7
End11.4
Second
3623
#24
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2
red by 6.3
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Third
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
red by 0.2
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End5.6