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Red211
615332.2
854418.2
69475.6
Blue91
672350.5
676326.9
226233.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412004006008001,0001,20021191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#7
75.60.0
75.675.6
Auto24.7
Teleop27.2
End23.6
red by 25.1
50.50.0
50.550.5
Auto11.6
Teleop10.4
End28.6
Second
6153
#10
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End13.9
blue by 0.8
2262
#12
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto12.0
Teleop5.0
End16.0
Third
8544
#14
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 8.7
6763
#11
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End10.2