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Red184
592043.5
291073.8
131836.6
Blue100
468210.6
491171.8
413128.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1811150300400184100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.80.0
73.873.8
Auto21.9
Teleop31.9
End19.9
red by 2.0
71.80.0
71.871.8
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End23.3
Second
43.50.0
43.543.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End21.5
red by 15.2
4131
#13
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.3
End18.0
Third
1318
#11
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End16.6
red by 26.1
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.2
End1.9