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Quarterfinal 1-12021 Beach Blitz
Red221
364775.7
4414105.6
265838.6
Blue158
656066.7
581848.6
113837.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2501550100200300400500221158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#1
105.60.2
102.1→102.3
Auto27.3
Teleop56.0
End22.2
red by 38.9
6560
#10
66.70.2
65.9→66.0
Auto23.0
Teleop22.8
End20.9
Second
3647
#5
75.70.2
72.2→72.4
Auto22.8
Teleop30.5
End22.4
red by 27.0
5818
#9
48.60.2
47.8→47.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End19.2
Third
2658
#16
38.60.2
38.4→38.6
Auto12.8
Teleop8.4
End17.4
red by 0.7
1138
#21
37.90.2
37.0→37.2
Auto14.1
Teleop8.2
End15.5