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Quarterfinal 3-22021 Beach Blitz
Red199
699561.0
330935.0
519967.5
Blue129
263740.7
312840.7
607229.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891110300400199129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#12
67.50.5
66.6→67.1
Auto13.8
Teleop23.8
End30.0
red by 26.8
2637
#25
40.70.4
40.3→40.7
Auto14.3
Teleop8.2
End18.2
Second
6995
#2
61.00.6
59.9→60.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End28.1
red by 20.3
3128
#8
40.70.4
40.3→40.7
Auto13.3
Teleop10.1
End17.2
Third
3309
#19
35.00.5
34.0→34.5
Auto17.3
Teleop7.0
End10.7
red by 6.0
6072
#17
29.00.5
28.5→29.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End10.6